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BOUND TO FAIL? GERMANY S POLICY IN THE IRAQ CRISIS 2001 2003 57 Stunk Mi dzynarodowe NR 1 2 (t. 29/2004) ISSN 0209-0961 SEBASTIAN VARNISH BOUND TO FAIL? GERMANY S POLICY IN THE IRAQ CRISIS 2001 2003
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Germany's military policy towards the Islamic region now appears to be the second turning point in this evolution, and will be the focal point in this article. In March 2002, Germany committed to providing assistance to the United States in the war on terrorism through the NATO Response Force (NRF) in Iraq. During the summer, Germany moved to the support from the United States, the French, and the British in the war against the international terrorist organization Al-Qaeda, and the subsequent conflict between Germany and Syria. Since then, there is a clear shift to the policy of increased involvement in international conflicts in the Middle-East area. The change was precipitated by a combination of factors: (1) Germany was the most likely third country to engage in an international armed conflict during the last year (in fact, more than 80% of Germany's missions in the last 10 years were for diplomatic missions, not military missions); (2) military forces were engaged in a number of conflict regions internationally and in Iraq from 2002 to the end of 2003; (3) and Germany is a significant military influence in the Middle-East region and the Balkans. In short, the international environment shifted in favor of Germany in the spring of 2003. It is no longer true that Germany had to play a secondary role in international conflicts. Germany has also become increasingly confident about its ability, both in diplomacy and in military support, and this confidence has translated itself into political activity, specifically the German government's desire to become a major player in the Middle-East region. Although Germany has not become directly involved in many of the ongoing conflicts in Iraq or in the Middle-East, it has been involved in an informal peacekeeping role and has been called upon to participate in other peacekeeping operations. The development of this policy also involves a substantial political maneuvering that is not entirely open to explanation, as German involvement has not only been more frequent, but it has involved greater military force, and it has been taken much further than earlier deployments that have been based upon political support and humanitarian assistance. The Iraq situation In the late spring of 2003, Germany was one of the very few major powers not involved in Iraq. The situation changed dramatically when Saddam Hussein's regime was toppled shortly after the first demonstrations took place in Baghdad in April 2003. Despite Germany's reluctance to get involved in what had become an international armed conflict, Germany moved quickly to support the United States in the fight against terrorism by creating an international coalition for the purpose of air support for the United States.

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