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2009 Outlook 33 The World Needs More Food from Every Acre The duration and depth of the global economic crisis are impossible to predict, with governments, industries and individuals trying to understand

The forecast is for growth of between 7% and the end of 2014, driven by higher food demand in China, India and elsewhere, as well as more growth in the emerging industrial economies. Growth rates are now forecast to reach between 6 % and 8 % for China and India, and to be around 4 and 5 % for North America and Europe. For North America these are forecast at around 3.5 % for 2012 and 3.9 % for 2013, and for Europe 3.6 % for 2011 and 3 % for 2012. World Food and Agriculture Organization: World Agricultural Outlook, October 2008 Outlook 34 The Growth of International Agriculture World Food and Agriculture Organization: World Agricultural Outlook, April 2009 Outlook 35 Sustainability The most sustainable and most productive agricultural systems are those based on high-input, low-output systems. These systems are less volatile than modern, high-production systems. They are less polluting because their inputs are limited and their outputs limited. When high inputs and high outputs co-exist, the system is more stable, and yields can be sustained longer. The agricultural systems most suited for sustainable human societies are those based on high-input, low-input systems. The system's output is so low that the production is so consistent that crop and livestock populations can be protected, the resources used for agricultural purposes can be reused on industrial or urban areas, and the ecological footprints can be kept low. A Note on Food Quality Sustainability is the way to create positive environmental impact. For example, the production of wheat, wheat flour, and sugar cane is unsustainable when inputs to that production are higher than is necessary for that production. Such inputs lead to increased emissions (such as nitrogen oxides) that are released into the atmosphere. In this context, the term sustainable has specific meaning for agricultural systems, including those involving the production of cereals and sugar. As well, the production of cereals and sugar cane are considered unsustainable at current levels of input. Sustainability implies: that all agricultural inputs and services are used in accordance with sound scientific advice regarding their potential to produce positive benefits; that the use of such inputs meets the needs of the environment and human health. In the field of sustainable agriculture, the word “conservation” has been used to describe two different concepts. The conservation of natural resources refers to the conservation of resources of natural origin, usually land and water but also other natural substances such as air and other forms of energy, such as the solar radiation.

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