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Identify a sample statistic. Choose the statistic (e.g, sample mean, sample proportion) that you will use to estimate a population parameter. Select a confidence level. Find the margin of error. Specify the confidence interval.
The formula for the 95% confidence interval using the normal approximation is p ±1.96[p(1-p)/n], where p is the proportion and n is the sample size. Thus, for P=0.20 and n=100, the confidence interval would be ±1.96[0.20(1-0.20)/100], or 0.20±0.078.
A 95% confidence interval is a range of values that you can be 95% certain contains the true mean of the population. With large samples, you know that mean with much more precision than you do with a small sample, so the confidence interval is quite narrow when computed from a large sample.
To compute the 95% confidence interval, start by computing the mean and standard error: M = (2 + 3 + 5 + 6 + 9)/5 = 5. M = = 1.118. Z.95 can be found using the normal distribution calculator and specifying that the shaded area is 0.95 and indicating that you want the area to be between the cutoff points.
For a population with unknown mean and known standard deviation, a confidence interval for the population mean, based on a simple random sample (SRS) of size n, is + z*, where z* is the upper (1-C)/2 critical value for the standard normal distribution.
With a 95% confidence interval, you want 95 measurement results out of 100 to be within the limits of your uncertainty estimates. At 95% confidence, you are accepting a 1 in 20 failure rate. With a 99% confidence interval, you want 99 measurement results out of 100 to be within the limits of your uncertainty estimates.
In statistics, a confidence interval (CI) is a type of estimate computed from the statistics of the observed data. This proposes a range of plausible values for an unknown parameter (for example, the mean). The interval has an associated confidence level that the true parameter is in the proposed range.
Confidence intervals provide us with an upper and lower limit around our sample mean, and within this interval we can then be confident we have captured the population mean. The lower limit and upper limit around our sample mean tells us the range of values our true population mean is likely to lie within.
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