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Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 46(l), 79-96, 2003 A Contingent Trip Model for Estimating Rail-trail Demand CARTER J. BETA, JOHN C. BERGSTROM+ & J, M. BOWLER* *US Department of Agriculture
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A contingent trip model is a method used to predict the likelihood of a trip occurrence based on various factors such as weather conditions, transportation availability, and traveler preferences.
The requirement to file a contingent trip model depends on the specific regulations and policies of the governing body or organization. Typically, transportation companies, tour operators, and travel agencies might be required to file a contingent trip model.
To fill out a contingent trip model, you need to gather relevant data such as historical trip information, weather patterns, and traveler preferences. This data is then used to create a mathematical model that predicts the likelihood of trip occurrences under different conditions.
The purpose of a contingent trip model is to assist in decision-making processes related to trip planning, resource allocation, and risk management. It helps organizations optimize their operations and ensure efficient use of resources based on expected trip demand.
The specific information required to be reported on a contingent trip model may vary depending on the governing body or organization. However, typically, it would include trip frequency, anticipated demand, factors affecting trip occurrence, and relevant statistical data.
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