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US006954758B1 (12) United States Patent (10) Patent No.: Flaherty (54) US 6,954,758 B1 (45) Date of Patent: BUILDING PREDICTIVE MODELS WITHIN OTHER PUBLICATIONS INTERACTIVE BUSINESS ANALYSIS PROCESSES
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01
Understand the problem: Before building predictive models, it is crucial to have a clear understanding of the problem you are trying to solve. Define the objectives, variables, and the target outcome that you want the model to predict.
02
Gather relevant data: Collect and gather the necessary data that will be used to build the predictive models. This can include structured data from databases, spreadsheets, or APIs, as well as unstructured data from text documents, images, or social media.
03
Preprocess the data: Clean and preprocess the data to ensure its quality and suitability for modeling. This may involve handling missing values, removing outliers, normalizing or scaling variables, and transforming data types if needed.
04
Explore the data: Perform exploratory data analysis to gain insights and understand the patterns, trends, and relationships within the data. Visualize the data using charts, graphs, or statistics to identify any correlations or anomalies.
05
Select and train a model: Choose an appropriate model for your predictive task, such as linear regression, decision trees, random forests, or neural networks. Split your data into training and testing sets and train the chosen model using the training data.
06
Evaluate the model: Assess the performance and accuracy of your predictive model using various evaluation metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, or area under the curve. Compare the model's performance against baseline models or previous versions.
07
Tune the model: Fine-tune the model's hyperparameters to optimize its performance. This can be done through techniques such as grid search, random search, or Bayesian optimization, where you systematically explore different combinations of hyperparameters.
08
Validate the model: Validate the model's performance using independent and unseen data to ensure its generalizability and reliability. This can involve cross-validation, bootstrapping, or holdout validation techniques.
09
Deploy the model: Implement the predictive model into a production environment or integrate it into your existing systems. Monitor its performance and make necessary adjustments or updates as new data becomes available.

Who needs building predictive models within?

01
Data scientists: Building predictive models is a crucial task for data scientists who aim to extract insights and make predictions from data. They utilize advanced statistical and machine learning techniques to develop accurate models that can provide valuable insights or enable intelligent decision-making.
02
Data analysts: Data analysts may need to build predictive models to support business intelligence or drive data-driven decision making. Predictive models can help identify trends, forecast future outcomes, or segment customers for targeted marketing campaigns, among other applications.
03
Researchers: Researchers in various fields may require building predictive models to study and understand complex phenomena. Predictive modeling can be used to generate hypotheses, test theories, or make predictions in fields such as healthcare, finance, climate science, or social sciences.
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