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Appendix III: Models of Ambiguity Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) The general form of the SEU model is Z U (f) u f d S where S is a subjective probability overstates of the world and u : R+ R is
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01
Identify the set of potential outcomes or scenarios for your decision-making situation.
02
Assign a probability to each outcome or scenario based on your subjective assessment of their likelihoods.
03
Determine the utility or value associated with each outcome or scenario. This represents your personal preference or satisfaction level for each outcome.
04
Calculate the expected utilities by multiplying the probabilities assigned to each outcome with their respective utilities. Sum up these values to obtain the overall expected utility for the decision.
05
Identify the worst-case outcome or scenario. This is the outcome with the lowest utility value.
06
Assign equal probabilities to all worst-case outcomes or scenarios. This reflects the conservative or risk-averse behavior of maxmin decision-makers.
07
Recalculate the expected utilities considering the revised probabilities for worst-case outcomes. This yields the maxmin expected utility.

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Risk-averse individuals or decision-makers who prioritize avoiding the worst-case outcome over maximizing potential gains.
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Maxmin expected utility (MEU) is a decision-making technique that determines the most optimal course of action by considering the best possible outcome in the worst-case scenario.
Maxmin expected utility (MEU) is typically used in economics and game theory, so it is not specifically required to be filed by any individual or organization.
To fill out a maxmin expected utility (MEU) analysis, you need to identify all possible outcomes, assign probabilities to each outcome, and calculate the expected utility for each outcome. Then, select the best course of action based on the maximum expected utility in the worst-case scenario.
The purpose of maxmin expected utility (MEU) is to help make decisions under uncertainty by considering the worst-case scenario and choosing the course of action with the highest expected utility in that scenario.
The information that needs to be reported on a maxmin expected utility (MEU) analysis includes the possible outcomes, their associated probabilities, and the expected utility for each outcome in the worst-case scenario.
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