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MINUTES UTAH BOARD OF PHARMACY ELECTRONIC MEETING DECEMBER 15, 2020 8:30 A.M. HEBER M. WELLS BUILDING SALT LAKE CITY, UT 84114 DUE TO COVID19, NO PUBLIC ANCHOR LOCATION WAS PROVIDED. PUBLIC ATTENDED
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How to fill out naive forecast for covid-19

01
Gather historical data on Covid-19 cases from a reliable source.
02
Identify the time period for which you want to forecast the Covid-19 cases.
03
Calculate the average number of cases for the selected time period.
04
Use this average as the forecast for future Covid-19 cases.

Who needs naive forecast for covid-19?

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Health organizations
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Governments and policymakers
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A naive forecast for COVID-19 typically involves using simple statistical methods, such as assuming that future cases will follow the same trend as past cases, without incorporating more complex predictive models.
Organizations and health authorities that need to project future cases for planning and response purposes may be required to file a naive forecast for COVID-19.
To fill out a naive forecast for COVID-19, gather historical data on case numbers, plot the data, and extend the trend line into the future, while noting any assumptions made.
The purpose of a naive forecast for COVID-19 is to provide a simple estimation of future case numbers to assist in resource allocation, planning, and decision-making.
The forecast must report key information such as historical case counts, the forecasting method used, projected future case numbers, and any assumptions made in the prediction.
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