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Assessing Theories, Bayes Style*
Franz Huber, California Institute of Technology
penultimate version: please cite the paper in SyntheseContents
1The Problem32Conflicting Concepts of Confirmation43Assessing
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Understand the prior probability, which is your belief about the likelihood of an event before any evidence is taken into account.
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What is bayesian confirmation a means?
Bayesian confirmation is a means of updating the probability of a hypothesis based on new evidence or observations.
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Bayesian confirmation involves calculating the posterior probability of a hypothesis given prior probabilities and new evidence.
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The purpose of Bayesian confirmation is to update beliefs or probabilities based on new information or data.
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The information reported on Bayesian confirmation includes prior probabilities, new evidence, and the updated posterior probability.
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