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Using Bayesian analysis to account for uncertainty and adjust for bias in coronavirus sampling1 Andrew Gelman and Bob Carpenter 7 June 2020 In early April 2020, a team of researchers based at Stanford
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Define the prior probability based on existing knowledge or beliefs.
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Collect data relevant to the updated scenario.
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Formulate the likelihood function based on the new data.
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Use Bayes' theorem to combine the prior probability and the likelihood to compute the posterior probability.
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Interpret the posterior probability to update your beliefs or decision-making.

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Bayesian analysis is used to update the probability estimate for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available.
Individuals and organizations that want to make probabilistic inferences based on prior data and likelihood models are required to use Bayesian analysis.
To fill out Bayesian analysis, one needs to define a prior distribution, collect data, compute the likelihood, and then update the prior to get the posterior distribution.
The purpose of using Bayesian analysis is to incorporate prior knowledge and evidence to update beliefs and make informed decisions.
Reports must include the prior distributions, likelihood functions, posterior distributions, and any assumptions made during analysis.
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