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SENIOR RESEARCH Topic: Stock return predictability with financial ratios: A panel data analysis in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)Name: Norraset Meesuwan ID: 5545871629 Advisor: San Sampattavanija,
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01
Gather relevant financial data for the companies you are analyzing.
02
Research analysts’ opinions and ratings on the stock.
03
Compile estimates on earnings per share (EPS) and revenue from various analysts.
04
Calculate the average forecast provided by the analysts.
05
Assess the dispersion of the estimates to determine predictability.
06
Compare the company's historical performance against analysts' predictions to evaluate accuracy.
07
Summarize findings in a clear format, indicating consensus and predictability.

Who needs analysts consensus and predictability?

01
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Analysts needing to validate their predictions against consensus.
04
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05
Corporate executives monitoring market expectations.
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Analysts consensus and predictability refer to the aggregated forecasts and expectations from financial analysts regarding a company's performance, particularly its earnings. It provides insights into market expectations and the degree of certainty or variability around those forecasts.
Companies that are publicly traded and have analysts covering them are typically required to file analysts consensus and predictability information.
To fill out analysts consensus and predictability, a company needs to gather analysts' forecasts regarding key financial metrics, summarize these forecasts to present a consensus view, and include measures of predictability such as standard deviation or range.
The purpose of analysts consensus and predictability is to inform investors about the expected performance of a company based on analyst forecasts, thereby facilitating informed investment decisions.
The information that must be reported includes the consensus earnings estimates, the range of estimates from different analysts, and indicators of predictability such as the standard deviation of estimates.
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