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Delft University of TechnologyA Bayesian model for quantifying errors in citizen science data application to rainfall observations from Nepal Eisma, Jessica A.; Schoups, Gerrit; Davids, Jeffrey C.;
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01
Define the model parameters you want to estimate.
02
Collect and preprocess the data relevant to your model.
03
Specify a prior distribution for each parameter based on prior knowledge or assumptions.
04
Use a likelihood function to describe how your data relates to the parameters.
05
Apply Bayes' theorem to update the prior distributions with the observed data, resulting in posterior distributions.
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Assess the posterior distributions to quantify uncertainties and errors in your parameter estimates.
07
Validate your model by comparing predictions with observed data.
08
Document your findings, including the methods used and the assumptions made.

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Bayesian quantification of errors is a statistical approach that uses Bayesian inference to assess and quantify uncertainties in measurements and predictions.
Individuals or organizations that conduct analyses involving uncertain data and require a robust error quantification method are typically required to file Bayesian quantification of errors.
To fill out Bayesian quantification of errors, one must gather relevant data, apply Bayesian statistical methods to estimate uncertainties, and report the results in a structured format as required by regulatory or governing bodies.
The purpose of Bayesian quantification of errors is to provide a framework for understanding and communicating the uncertainties inherent in estimates and predictions, facilitating better decision-making.
The information that must be reported includes the prior distributions used, the likelihood functions, the posterior distributions, and any assumptions made during the analysis.
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