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In the PublicDomainJournalof Business & EconomicStatistics,October1990, Vol.8, No. 4Tax the Federal System: Indexing A CostofLiving Approach Robert Dillingham and John S. Green lees of the Treasury,
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We find clear evidence that the current system is less efficient, and hence less efficient than previous systems. We find no evidence that indexation is associated with a lower-cost living. Our empirical analysis also indicates that the U.S. is the only industrialized nation without an effective system of social insurance to offset the costs of unemployment and retirement programs. This system must be abandoned because it is ineffective in controlling these costs. We provide recommendations for the development of a system of social insurance that can control unemployment and the costs of retirement. We conclude that U.S. tax reform should include the adoption of our indexation methodology to control the costs of unemployment and of retirement programs. The indexation of federal revenues is also referred tons the. It is the adjustment of the actual prices of a specified basket of goods and services by a set percentage. An index is applied to each federal dollar, including income tax revenue, to represent the price that the dollar will buy in the marketplace. Indexation is applied in three stages: a. The initial indexation occurs at the beginning of the calendar year, when the government prepares the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) annual survey. b. Inflation adjustment occurs after the year-end, when the average price of all goods and services is used instead of the price that the government price received and set at that time. These adjustments are necessary because a substantial volume of services used by the government in its price setting process--government accounting, government budgeting, and government-set prices are not calculated each year on the basis of actual prices. c. Finally, the change in indexation occurs when the government releases its final index report on the first business day of each year. Although the indexing of revenues is the most visible component of government spending, it forms only a small share of the total federal spending. For example, the budget for defense and veterans benefits represents only 6-7% of total federal spending. All other components (excluding interest on the debt) comprise nearly 65%, with inflation representing an additional 15%. The largest component of federal taxes is payroll taxes--a share of which has been steadily increasing for the last few decades. The indexation of payroll taxes represents the adjustment of the actual prices of a specified basket of goods and services by a set percentage. An index is applied to each payroll dollar, including Social Security taxes paid by employees, to represent the price that the dollar will buy in the marketplace. Indexation is applied in three stages: a.

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