In the 1980s this was generally the case since most exploration efforts were based upon what is now known as the “Gulch” theory: that the well is too deep, or the well is not at full production, and there is relatively little oil or gas. But some of the most exciting results have yet to be achieved in the Gulf of Mexico. An exceptional event like an oil spill would result in great interest, yet the likelihood of it occurring are highly dependent on the type of well and how much oil is actually stored or trapped. The Gulf of Mexico, particularly the offshore, is highly permeable due to the presence of large saltwater lakes. As a result, it is important to consider the possibility of a blowout even if the well is producing and can be capped by the well owner. The main problem that needs to be overcome is the problem of whether to cap the well and remove an immense amount of oil by removing the casing and drilling a well into the oil reservoir. Of course, this would require drilling the hole to a depth below the water table where the drill pipe would not enter and the wells would be in jeopardy. Another problem is that, with the oil well cap removed and the wells drilled to a depth below the water table, additional oil could flow into the reservoir. Of course these problems could be reduced through proper casing and construction, however the more serious problems lie beyond construction. There are two basic factors that determine whether the blowout will be possible. The first is the thickness of the well bore. This depends upon both the type of well and how much oil is actually stored or trapped. A well that is too deep or stored is like a bottle that has been capped and there is no way to remove the cap. As a result, if the well will be left completely exposed to subsurface pressures, a blowout could result as a result of the uncontrolled movement of the trapped oil. The second factor is how much oil is actually stored or trapped. If there is sufficient oil in the reservoir to be economically recoverable (more oil in the reservoir than is trapped), then a blowout will not occur. This is generally the case in the western Gulf where most wells are in one direction but can be rotated. However, this does not mean that the same rules are not being followed on offshore. Blowouts can still occur with deep wells if the well does not reach depths of more than 15 meters. This is where the technical analysis begins.
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ARCHIVES PETROLEUM HISTORY SOCIETY Newsletter of the Petroleum History Society October 2001; Volume XII, Number 7 NOTICE SNACK AND LEARN SUPPERTIME MEETING 5:00 p.m. Wednesday, October 24, 2001, Mike
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