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Middle Eastern Finance and Economics ISSN: 1450-2889 Issue 3 (2009) EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2009 http://www.eurojournals.com/MEFE.htm Business Cycles and Foreign Trade in the Turkish Economy

The data show that Turkish industrial sectors with predominantly inward orientation experienced slower growth of the business cycle which are dependent on their degree of inward orientation. The analysis of the most important structural factors of the Turkish economy showed that the relative share of external trade in the Turkish GDP is negatively related with the unemployment rates among the population. As such, a slowdown in the external trade could be one of sources to explain the slowdown in Turkish GDP growth rates. In contrast, the relationship of other structural factors was positive. This means, that when the unemployment rate was low, more external trade was related to faster and stronger growth, while when the unemployment rate is high, more inward oriented firms would be discouraged. Economics: Econometrics, Probability and Statistics ISBN: 978-92-3-918114-0 (PUB) Theoretical Economics (Econ) 1st edition by David Rome and John D. Rome (MIT) ISBN: 978-01-6 (PUB) Econometrics edited by Walter Bishop (Cambridge) ISBN: 978-0-8-0 (PUB) (ISBN:274544) The Structure of Business Cycles Michael Woodford (Cape Town) ISBN: 9788671533995 (PUB) (ISBN: 978-0-8-3) “Gresham's Law is based on an observation that more-productive firms have lower prices.” — Gresham's Law is a widely recognized economic phenomenon. In fact, it is well known that the price of a good (and service) increases over time as more of that good or service becomes available. The effect of price increases varies significantly for many goods and services in the market.[1] Gresham's law was originally proposed by a British economist and has since been adopted by a number of economists.[2] Most often the effect is not large — but it can be large enough to greatly influence the behavior of firms and economies. In particular, the effect on consumers can be significant enough to reduce future growth, reduce investment, and even lead to a recession. Many scholars believe this effect is important enough to be worth studying in a sophisticated manner.

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